SERVICENOW, INC (NOW) expected move±$16.1 (±10.3%) by 2026-10-30 · NOW at $156.77 · 2026-10-27 ET
The options market prices a ±$16.1 (10.3%) move in NOW by 2026-10-30 (3 days), a one-sigma range of $140.67 to $172.87 around the $156.77 stock price, from the $157.5 at-the-money straddle. The 2026-10-30 expiration captures the 2026-10-28 earnings report and prices ±$16.1 (10.3%). The table below runs out to 2027-01-15.
By expiration
| Expiration | DTE | Expected move | ±% | ATM straddle | ATM IV | 1σ range | 2σ range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30earnings | 3 | ±$16.1 | 10.3% | $16.1 | 128% | $140.67 – $172.87 | $124.57 – $188.97 |
| 2026-11-06 | 10 | ±$18.45 | 11.8% | $18.45 | 86% | $138.32 – $175.22 | $119.87 – $193.67 |
| 2026-11-13 | 17 | ±$20.2 | 12.9% | $20.2 | 73% | $136.57 – $176.97 | $116.37 – $197.17 |
| 2026-11-20 | 24 | ±$21.78 | 13.9% | $21.78 | 67% | $135 – $178.55 | $113.22 – $200.32 |
| 2026-11-27 | 31 | ±$22.88 | 14.6% | $22.88 | 62% | $133.9 – $179.65 | $111.02 – $202.52 |
| 2026-12-04 | 38 | ±$24.25 | 15.5% | $24.25 | 60% | $132.52 – $181.02 | $108.27 – $205.27 |
| 2026-12-18 | 52 | ±$27.15 | 17.3% | $27.15 | 58% | $129.62 – $183.92 | $102.47 – $211.07 |
| 2027-01-15 | 80 | ±$31.38 | 20.0% | $31.38 | 54% | $125.4 – $188.15 | $94.02 – $219.52 |
Expected move is the at-the-money straddle when both legs quote, else price × ATM IV × √(DTE/365). Strike nearest the stock price; the eight nearest expirations.
More NOW: implied volatility · put/call ratio · earnings date · option chain · GEX levels · all NOW options data · definition
Frequently asked questions
- What is the NOW expected move?
- The size of the price swing the options market is pricing for SERVICENOW, INC (NOW) by a given expiration. The at-the-money straddle (call plus put at the strike nearest the stock price) is the market's own quote for it; the IV sigma is the same idea computed from implied volatility: price × IV × √(days/365).
- Is the expected move a prediction?
- No. It is a one-standard-deviation range, so the stock is expected to finish inside it roughly 68% of the time and outside it about one week in three. The two-sigma range covers about 95%.
- Why does the straddle differ from the IV sigma?
- The straddle is a traded price that includes the bid/ask spread and the skew between puts and calls; the sigma is a model number from one at-the-money IV. They are usually within a few percent of each other; a large gap means the quotes are stale or wide.
- What does the earnings flag mean?
- That expiration is the first one that captures the next scheduled earnings report, so its expected move includes the earnings jump the market is pricing. Compare it with the expiration just before it to see the earnings premium.
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